FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Scunthorpe5 - 0Newcastle Town
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Scunthorpe United and Newcastle Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Newcastle Town 1-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newcastle Town |
76.44% ( -1.57) | 15.01% ( 0.76) | 8.54% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.7) | 37.25% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.75) | 59.46% ( 0.75) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( -0.5) | 8.08% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.27) | 28.41% ( 1.27) |
| Newcastle Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.33% ( 1.46) | 48.67% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.28% ( 1.03) | 83.72% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United 76.43%
Newcastle Town 8.54%
Draw 15.01%
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newcastle Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.44)1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.43% Total : 76.43% | 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.01% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.54% |
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Form Guide
