Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Buxton and Kidderminster Harriers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barwell 1-2 Buxton
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
40.53% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0) | 33.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( 0) | 51.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( 0) | 73.1% ( -0.01) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.02) | 24.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% ( 0.03) | 59.56% ( -0.03) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.02) | 29.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.96% ( -0.03) | 65.04% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Buxton 40.53%
Kidderminster Harriers 33.3%
Draw 26.16%
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.3% |
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
