Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Barwell had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Barwell win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Buxton in this match.
-0.07) 
0.13) 
