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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 0
Buxton

Fryatt (17')
Gash (3'), Jarvis (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mann (29'), Elliott (37'), Kirby (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 1-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawBuxton
25.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 49.07% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)52.18% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)73.89% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)35.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.13% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 25.47%
    Buxton 49.06%
    Draw 25.46%
Peterborough SportsDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 49.06%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
P'boro Sports
1-3
Buxton
Jarvis (24')
Mottley-Henry (32', 90+1'), McCourt (39')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Buxton
2-2
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (16'), Burrow (78')
Fowkes (24'), McCammon (90+3')
Dec 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Buxton
3-0
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (14' pen.), McKay (65'), Osborne (87')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
P'boro Sports
1-1
Buxton
Jarvis (33' pen.)
Barker (48')
Gilchrist (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1895433141932
2Chorley189542921832
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
4Buxton1910183122931
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn189362119230
7Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
8Chester FCChester178452017328
9Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
10Brackley Town168351913627
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12South Shields188192428-425
13SouthportSouthport187472530-525
14Leamington FCLeamington176562218423
15Darlington175751818022
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports186481924-522
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1862101931-1220
19Warrington Town184771824-619
20Oxford CityOxford City184682533-818
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Rushall Olympic1733111731-1412
24Needham Market1833121233-2112


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