Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 30.77% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
30.77% ( -0.29) | 22.44% ( -0.09) | 46.79% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 65.24% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.91% ( 0.3) | 35.1% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.91% ( 0.34) | 57.1% ( -0.33) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0.02) | 22.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% ( -0.03) | 56.49% ( 0.04) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( 0.26) | 15.51% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( 0.47) | 44.43% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.77% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Auckland FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Macarthur | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 2 |
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