Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 5, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur1 - 1Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Monday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
50.7% ( 0.3) | 21.4% ( 0.09) | 27.9% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
