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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2023 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington Phoenix

Macarthur
0 - 3
Wellington


Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 0-3 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 9 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
52.44% (0.491 0.49) 21.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.85% (-0.539 -0.54)
Both teams to score 63.95% (-0.739 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.89% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)35.11% (0.729 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.88% (-0.818 -0.82)57.11% (0.817 0.82)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (-0.102 -0.1)13.63% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.21% (-0.202 -0.2)40.79% (0.201 0.2)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.767 -0.77)25.96% (0.766 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-1.045 -1.05)60.97% (1.043 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 52.44%
    Wellington Phoenix 25.85%
    Draw 21.7%
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.85%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Gameweek 26
Macarthur
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (11')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
2-1
Wellington
Davila (32'), Najjar (49')
Kraev (4')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
4-1
Macarthur
Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')
Rose (59')
Feb 6, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
3-1
Macarthur
Nov 21, 2021 7.45am
Gameweek 1
Macarthur
1-1
Wellington
Rose (61')
Uskok (41'), Rose (67')
Hooper (25' pen.)
Rufer (34'), Payne (84'), Ball (88')
rhs 2.0
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