Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.44% (![]() | 21.7% (![]() | 25.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% (![]() | 35.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% (![]() | 57.11% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% (![]() | 13.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.21% (![]() | 40.79% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% (![]() | 25.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.03% (![]() | 60.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 6.41% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |