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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
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Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 12, 2023 at 4am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Macarthur

MacLaren (58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Sakhi (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davila (61'), Hollman (83'), Millar (88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 9am in AFC Champions League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
56.66% (-0.288 -0.29) 20.78% (0.106 0.11) 22.56% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 63.32% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.78% (-0.294 -0.29)34.22% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (-0.333 -0.33)56.12% (0.334 0.33)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)12.08% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (-0.372 -0.37)37.61% (0.373 0.37)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.62% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 56.66%
    Macarthur 22.56%
    Draw 20.78%
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 22.56%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 8am
Gameweek 21
Macarthur
1-1
Melbourne City
Romero (26')
Aspropotamitis (66' og.)
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Melbourne City
6-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
Mar 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
3-1
Macarthur
Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
Jun 20, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-0
Macarthur
Colakovski (54'), Tilio (55')
> Preview
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