Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 12, 2023 at 4am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 3Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 9am in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, November 8 at 9am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
56.66% ( -0.29) | 20.78% ( 0.11) | 22.56% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
