Australian A-League | 1st Leg

May 12, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Melbourne City

(Melbourne City win 5-1 on aggregate)

le Fondre (64' pen.)
King (70'), Corica (71'), Grant (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Leckie (18')
Good (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, May 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Western Sydney
Friday, April 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Sydney FC 1-2 Melbourne City

Melbourne are undoubtedly the favourites, and Sydney will have to play very well over the two legs to beat them. We are expecting a tight match on Friday but believe that the away team's attacking quality will allow them to claim a narrow advantage ahead of the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
28.59%	22.1%	49.31%

Both teams to score 64.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21%

34.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.24%

56.76%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04%

23.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81%

58.19%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47%

14.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.45%

42.55%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 28.59%

Melbourne City 49.31%

Draw 22.1%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.85% 1-0 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 5.95% 2-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.31%