Australian A-League

Jun 27, 2021 at 8.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 1
Sydney FC

Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
43.54%	25.06%	31.4%

Both teams to score 56.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88%

47.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65%

69.35%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35%

21.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23%

54.77%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98%

64.02%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 43.54%

Sydney FC 31.4%

Draw 25.06%

Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.54%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.4%