Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.9% | 24.02% | 43.07% |
Both teams to score 60.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% | 41.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% | 64.24% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% | 24.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% | 59.37% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% | 51.62% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.13% Total : 43.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |