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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
May 29, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Sydney FC

Adelaide United
1 - 4
Sydney FC

Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
32.9%24.02%43.07%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.16%41.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76%64.24%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63%59.37%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37%51.62%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 32.9%
    Sydney FC 43.07%
    Draw 24.02%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 43.07%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Sydney FC

Adelaide United
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sydney FC
50.0%
28
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 7.05am
Gameweek 6
Sydney FC
2-2
Adelaide United
Bobo (19', 51')
Grant (90+3')
Elsey (75'), Juric (79')
Juric (33'), Toure (90+3')
Mar 28, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 14
Adelaide United
1-0
Sydney FC
Goodwin (76' pen.)
D'Arrigo (15'), Mauk (59'), Yengi (63')

Ivanovic (79')
Aug 6, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Adelaide United
1-1
Sydney FC
Elsey (13')
McGree (38'), Strain (83')
Le Fondre (39')
Jan 4, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 13
Sydney FC
2-1
Adelaide United
Retre (20', 26')
Brattan (65'), Retre (76')
McGree (38')
Halloran (54'), Strain (59'), Kitto (90')
Oct 11, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 1
Adelaide United
2-3
Sydney FC
Mileusnic (44'), Toure (51')
Maria (76')
Strain (57')
Le Fondre (22' pen., 28'), McGowan (87')
rhs 2.0
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