Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
64.89% | 17.74% | 17.37% |
Both teams to score 65.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8% | 27.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.25% | 47.75% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.98% | 8.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.74% | 28.27% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% | 28.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% | 64.19% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 6.11% 1-0 @ 5.76% 4-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-2 @ 3.05% 5-1 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.54% 4-3 @ 1.28% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.89% | 1-1 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.83% Total : 17.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |