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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
May 13, 2021 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United

Melbourne City
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Jamieson (8'), Galloway (45'), MacLaren (72' pen., 82')
Noone (45+2'), Griffiths (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Halloran (51')
Mauk (23'), Caletti (57'), Halloran (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
64.89%17.74%17.37%
Both teams to score 65.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.8%27.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.25%47.75%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98%8.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.74%28.27%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81%64.19%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 64.89%
    Adelaide United 17.37%
    Draw 17.74%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 6.11%
1-0 @ 5.76%
4-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 3.85%
4-2 @ 3.05%
5-1 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 1.94%
5-2 @ 1.54%
4-3 @ 1.28%
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 2.28%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-1 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.91%
0-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Adelaide United

Melbourne City
75.6%
Draw
6.7%
Adelaide United
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2021 7.05am
Gameweek 4
Adelaide United
2-0
Melbourne City
Juric (66'), Mauk (76')
Jakobsen (48'), Juric (67')

Metcalfe (19'), Jamieson (55')
Jamieson (65')
Aug 11, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 25
Melbourne City
2-2
Adelaide United
Luna (34'), MacLaren (40')
Brillante (3'), Delbridge (32'), Windbichler (66'), Galloway (84'), Berenguer (90'), MacLaren (90+5')
Noone (67')
Fardal Opseth (77' pen.), Halloran (90+1')
Gomulka (90+6')
Feb 1, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 17
Adelaide United
3-1
Melbourne City
Halloran (12', 41'), Blackwood (45')
McGree (18'), Konstandopoulos (86')
Noone (16')
Good (32')
Delbridge (76')
Oct 20, 2019 6am
May 5, 2019 10am
Eliminators
Adelaide United
1-0
Melbourne City
Halloran (119')
Sanchez (27'), Halloran (92')

Baccus (36'), Brattan (79'), McGree (95')
rhs 2.0
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