Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Apr 29, 2021 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 1Newcastle Jets
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 65.95% | 17.9% | 16.14% |
| Both teams to score 62.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
