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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Sunderland

Fresh and raring to fight following the two-week international break, Millwall should have the energy to produce another positive result against a promotion contender at The Den. Plagued by suspensions and injuries, we are expecting the Black Cats to struggle in the capital, leading to the end of their eight-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
32.92% (0.453 0.45) 29.43% (0.601 0.6) 37.64% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 43.48% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (-1.916 -1.92)63.42% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (-1.401 -1.4)82.77% (1.4 1.4)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)35.62% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.736 -0.74)72.39% (0.73399999999999 0.73)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-1.627 -1.63)32.46% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-1.871 -1.87)68.98% (1.87 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.92%
    Sunderland 37.64%
    Draw 29.42%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.56% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
20.6%
Sunderland
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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