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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Millwall

Gibson (60')
Gibson (45+3'), Burger (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (42')
Esse (53'), Wintle (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Stoke
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Millwall

After hard-fought wins over Burnley and Leeds at The Den, we feel that Millwall could run out of steam on the road in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon. A drop in energy levels from the Lions should open the door for Stoke to collect their third straight victory in the Championship ahead of the international pause. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
39.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 27.75% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 32.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)63.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.97%
    Millwall 32.28%
    Draw 27.74%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
38.1%
42
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-0
Millwall
Rose (47')
Mitchell (18'), Cooper (66'), Harding (79')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Millwall
1-0
Stoke
Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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