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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
43.42% ( -0) | 27.55% ( 0) | 29.02% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.32% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.99% | 58% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.31% ( 0) | 78.69% ( 0) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% | 26.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -0) | 61.68% ( 0) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( 0) | 35.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( 0) | 72.38% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.02% Total : 29.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |