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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
40.39% ( -0.01) | 27.63% ( -0.01) | 31.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( 0.03) | 57.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% ( 0.02) | 78.16% ( -0.02) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% ( 0.01) | 63.4% ( -0.02) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( 0.02) | 33.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( 0.02) | 69.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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