We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City
Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table.
Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.