Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Norwich City
33.26% ( -0.24)	26.34% ( -0.02)	40.4% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

0.05)

52.02% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

0.04)

73.75% (

-0.04)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.13)

29.51% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

-0.16)

65.53% (

0.16)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.16)

25.35% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.22)

60.13% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 33.26%

Norwich City 40.39%

Draw 26.33%

Coventry City	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.26%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.39%