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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Norwich City |
33.26% ( -0.24) | 26.34% ( -0.02) | 40.4% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.98% ( 0.05) | 52.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( 0.04) | 73.75% ( -0.04) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( -0.13) | 29.51% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -0.16) | 65.53% ( 0.16) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( 0.16) | 25.35% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.22) | 60.13% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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