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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
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Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
33.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 40.4% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.052 0.05)52.02% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.044 0.04)73.75% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)29.51% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.159 -0.16)65.53% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.164 0.16)25.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.224 0.22)60.13% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 33.26%
    Norwich City 40.39%
    Draw 26.33%
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.39%

How you voted: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Norwich City
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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