FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 1
Blackburn

Aarons (22'), Hugill (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vale (31')
Carter (53')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Regardless of whether Wagner is in charge at the weekend, you would have to expect Norwich's squad to react positively to the appointment. With that in mind, we feel that the Canaries may be able to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
58.28% ( 0.61)	22.6% ( -0.19)	19.12% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

0.22)

47.25% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

0.2)

69.48% (

-0.21)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

0.28)

15.91% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

0.52)

45.15% (

-0.52)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

-0.33)

38.72% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

-0.31)

75.46% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 58.27%

Blackburn Rovers 19.12%

Draw 22.6%

Norwich City	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.12%