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Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Carrow Road
Blackburn logo

Norwich
0 - 1
Blackburn


Aarons (22'), Hugill (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vale (31')
Carter (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Regardless of whether Wagner is in charge at the weekend, you would have to expect Norwich's squad to react positively to the appointment. With that in mind, we feel that the Canaries may be able to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.28% (0.606 0.61) 22.6% (-0.19 -0.19) 19.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.22 0.22)47.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.203 0.2)69.48% (-0.206 -0.21)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (0.28099999999999 0.28)15.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.518 0.52)45.15% (-0.521 -0.52)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.327 -0.33)38.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.312 -0.31)75.46% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 58.27%
    Blackburn Rovers 19.12%
    Draw 22.6%
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: Norwich vs Blackburn

Norwich City
50.0%
Draw
21.2%
Blackburn Rovers
28.8%
52
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Apr 27, 2019 7.30pm
Norwich
2-1
Blackburn
Stiepermann (13'), Vrancic (21')
Zimmermann (64')
Travis (23')
Lenihan (18'), Dack (53'), Armstrong (81')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Norwich

Evans (23'), Smallwood (29')
Pukki (86')
Hernandez (28'), Leitner (42'), Cantwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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