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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
Hyam (90+4')
Buckley (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Hackney (8'), Crooks (49'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Middlesbrough

Given Blackburn's continued inconsistency, it is impossible to predict which performance that they will deliver in any particular game. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough are playing to such a high standard under Carrick that we feel that they will edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
31.93% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 42.4% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.438 -0.44)49.55% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-0.394 -0.39)71.58% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.367 -0.37)29.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.453 -0.45)65.09% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.122 -0.12)23.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.178 -0.18)57.14% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 31.93%
    Middlesbrough 42.4%
    Draw 25.66%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%
Draw
16.7%
Middlesbrough
51.4%
72
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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