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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
Hyam (90+4')
Buckley (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Hackney (8'), Crooks (49'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Middlesbrough

Given Blackburn's continued inconsistency, it is impossible to predict which performance that they will deliver in any particular game. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough are playing to such a high standard under Carrick that we feel that they will edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
31.93% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 42.4% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.438 -0.44)49.55% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-0.394 -0.39)71.58% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.367 -0.37)29.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.453 -0.45)65.09% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.122 -0.12)23.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.178 -0.18)57.14% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 31.93%
    Middlesbrough 42.4%
    Draw 25.66%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers
31.9%
Draw
16.7%
Middlesbrough
51.4%
72
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds412413480285285
2Burnley412316255124385
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd41267856312583
4Sunderland412113757372076
5Bristol City411615105344963
6Coventry CityCoventry41188155853562
7Middlesbrough411791561501160
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4113181049381157
9Millwall411512144041-157
10Watford41168174953-456
11Norwich CityNorwich411314146256653
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn41158184445-153
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds411411165663-753
14Swansea CitySwansea41149184451-751
15Queens Park RangersQPR411213164854-649
16Preston North EndPreston411019124249-749
17Portsmouth41129204864-1645
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd411112184260-1845
19Hull City411111194049-944
20Stoke CityStoke411014174254-1244
21Derby CountyDerby41119214252-1042
22Cardiff CityCardiff41915174565-2042
23Luton TownLuton411010213762-2540
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth41813204281-3937


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