We said: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers
While Blackburn are yet to record a draw in the Championship this season, they did so in midweek in the EFL Cup, showing that they are capable of battling back in that situation. We feel that something similar could occur at Turf Moor, Burnley holding a lead before Rovers claim a late leveller.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.