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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Rotherham logo

Burnley
3 - 2
Rotherham

Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Maatsen (89'), Brownhill (89'), Beyer (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68'), Barlaser (90'), Wiles (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Rotherham United

Burnley should be able to continue their impressive recent form with a fairly routine win against Rotherham United. The Millers have shipped too many goals in recent matches against weaker sides than Burnley, and we expect the Clarets to put a few past them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
66.96% (4.369 4.37) 20.41% (-1.589 -1.59) 12.63% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 43.88% (-2.232 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.873 0.87)49.82% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.774 0.77)71.82% (-0.77000000000001 -0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (1.67 1.67)13.98% (-1.666 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (3.189 3.19)41.48% (-3.185 -3.19)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.01% (-3.652 -3.65)48.99% (3.656 3.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-2.747 -2.75)83.95% (2.75 2.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 66.95%
    Rotherham United 12.63%
    Draw 20.41%
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.25% (1.05 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.7% (1.15 1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.235 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.778 0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.284 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.386 0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.786 -0.79)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.444 -0.44)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.725 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.687 -0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Rotherham

Burnley
85.3%
Draw
11.0%
Rotherham United
3.7%
109
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Burnley
2-1
Rotherham
Sinclair (14'), Grant (11')
Gilchrist (4')
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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