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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Middlesbrough logo

Burnley
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Cork (75')
Roberts (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watmore (49')
Steffen (57'), Lenihan (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Burnley
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Middlesbrough

 Burnley are a few more good results away from creating a significant gap between themselves and the rest of the Championship, with those inside the Clarets camp insisting they have an extra gear to go into as the season reaches the midway point. Middlesbrough will definitely fancy their chances of competing for a playoff position this campaign but will struggle to leave Turf Moor with anything to show for their efforts in terms of points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
58.88% (-0.182 -0.18) 22.08% (0.296 0.3) 19.04% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.07% (-1.186 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (-1.478 -1.48)45.13% (1.475 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-1.431 -1.43)67.48% (1.429 1.43)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (-0.551 -0.55)14.98% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (-1.055 -1.06)43.43% (1.054 1.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (-0.985 -0.98)37.58% (0.983 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (-0.975 -0.98)74.36% (0.973 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 58.87%
    Middlesbrough 19.04%
    Draw 22.08%
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.246 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.04%

How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley
81.6%
Draw
7.9%
Middlesbrough
10.5%
76
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Middlesbrough
0-0
Burnley

Ward (45'), Barnes (45'), Keane (85')
> Match Report
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
> Match Report
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
Keane (93')
Marney (25')
Rhodes (69')
Leadbitter (3'), Clayton (54')
> Match Report
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Fabbrini (36')
Forshaw (20'), Friend (38')
Hennings (45'), Ward (71')
Barton (83')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Burnley
Nsue (54')

Jones (5'), Mee (50')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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