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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Burnley |
36.59% ( 0.2) | 26.43% ( 0.39) | 36.98% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 52.77% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( -1.66) | 52.03% ( 1.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( -1.45) | 73.76% ( 1.45) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.67) | 27.47% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( -0.87) | 62.96% ( 0.88) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -1.11) | 27.24% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -1.47) | 62.67% ( 1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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