Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Middlesbrough

Given the manner of Blackburn's defeat last time out, there is an argument that Boro should be marginal favourites for this contest. However, home advantage could play a part, and we feel that a low-scoring - but extremely competitive - share of the spoils is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
41.29%	26.46%	32.25%

Both teams to score 51.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25%

52.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.62%

74.38%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79%

25.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05%

59.94%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46%

30.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24%

66.76%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 41.28%

Middlesbrough 32.25%

Draw 26.46%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.28%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.25%