Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
We said: Norwich City 1-1 Reading
Given the recent developments at Carrow Road, this is a difficult match to predict. With Reading able to overtake their hosts with victory in East Anglia, Norwich may be more than satisfied with earning a share of the spoils should the game be competitive.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21% . A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32% .
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Norwich City Draw Reading 62.21% ( -1.57) 21.47% ( 0.41) 16.32% ( 1.15)
Both teams to score 49.72% ( 1.29)
53.09% ( 0.36) 46.9% ( -0.36)
30.84% ( 0.33) 69.15% ( -0.34)
85.49% ( -0.37) 14.51% ( 0.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.48% ( -0.72) 42.51% ( 0.72)
58.16% ( 1.75) 41.84% ( -1.75)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.7% ( 1.49) 78.29% ( -1.49)
Norwich City 62.2%
Reading 16.32%
Draw 21.47%
Norwich City Draw Reading 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 62.2% 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.47% 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.32%
How you voted: Norwich vs Reading
21
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 05:00:50
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