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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Norwich


Naughton (49'), Wood (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9'), Hayden (36'), Idah (84'), Giannoulis (86'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Swansea
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as it is such a unique season due to the winter break. There is not an awful lot to separate the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
36.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.53%
    Norwich City 37.05%
    Draw 26.42%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
47.3%
Draw
31.1%
Norwich City
21.6%
74
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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