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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
42.78% (0.171 0.17) 26.61% (-0.156 -0.16) 30.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.602 0.6)53.86% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.505 0.5)75.32% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.94% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.496 0.5)59.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.29900000000001 0.3)32.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.336 0.34)68.75% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.78%
    Norwich City 30.61%
    Draw 26.61%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Norwich City
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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