We said: Blackpool 2-1 Luton Town
While Luton have impressed throughout the season, Michael Appleton's men arguably meet the Hatters at a good time, and with home advantage and plenty of attacking threat, we back the Tangerines to triumph on Saturday against their out-of-sorts visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.