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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Luton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Berry (90')
Doughty (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindsay (1')
Harding (19'), Barlaser (23'), Peltier (47'), Bramall (88'), Eaves (89'), Washington (90+3'), Norton-Cuffy (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Rotherham United

Many will be expecting a subdued atmosphere on Saturday with Luton losing Jones to Southampton, but the announcement that club legend Mick Harford will take charge of the squad has boosted the morale amongst supporters who want to get behind their team at a packed-out Kenilworth Road. Rotherham are travelling down to Bedfordshire following a brilliant win against Sheffield United, but we can see the hosts taking all three points in a convincing manner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
61.63% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 22.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 15.83% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)52.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.081 -0.08)73.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.44% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.12% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (-0.11 -0.11)45.59% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)81.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.62%
    Rotherham United 15.83%
    Draw 22.53%
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Luton vs Rotherham

Luton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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