FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 2
Sheff Utd

McNamara (18')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jebbison (23'), Bogle (36')
Bogle (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield United

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 2-1 Sheffield United

We expect both sides to rotate heavily on Saturday, and although the visitors have been stronger in the Championship this season, injuries have severely hit their squad depth, and we see Millwall's changed XI prevailing as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Sheffield United
41.84% ( -0.02)	28.14% ( 0.01)	30.03% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.15% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

-0.03)

59.72% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

-0.02)

80.02% (

0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

-0.02)

28.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

-0.03)

63.84% (

0.03)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23% (

-0.01)

35.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.46% (

-0.01)

72.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Millwall 41.83%

Sheffield United 30.02%

Draw 28.13%

Millwall	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 30.02%