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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Having been stunned by Grimsby in the FA Cup, Luton's season could now go several ways. For now, though, Edwards will want to steady the ship, and we feel that the visitors will be more than content with a point if it becomes a possibility on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
36.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.72% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.060000000000002 0.06)30.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)66.62% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)31.35% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 36.74%
    Luton Town 35.26%
    Draw 28%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Luton Town
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Onyedinma (31')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Luton
2-0
Coventry
Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')

McFadzean (41')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Coventry
0-0
Luton

O'Hare (38'), Hamer (41'), Kelly (46')

Berry (28'), Potts (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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