MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:04:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
57.01% (1.289 1.29) 23.3% (-0.72 -0.72) 19.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 50.29% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (2.155 2.16)49.38% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (1.907 1.91)71.42% (-1.909 -1.91)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (1.259 1.26)17.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (2.179 2.18)47.29% (-2.182 -2.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.625 0.63)39.34% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.577 0.58)76.04% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 57%
    Cardiff City 19.69%
    Draw 23.3%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.612 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
80.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cardiff City
8.3%
120
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!