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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
57.01% (1.289 1.29) 23.3% (-0.72 -0.72) 19.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 50.29% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (2.155 2.16)49.38% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (1.907 1.91)71.42% (-1.909 -1.91)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (1.259 1.26)17.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (2.179 2.18)47.29% (-2.182 -2.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.625 0.63)39.34% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.577 0.58)76.04% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 57%
    Cardiff City 19.69%
    Draw 23.3%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.612 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
80.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cardiff City
8.3%
120
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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