Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
57.01% ( 1.29)	23.3% ( -0.72)	19.69% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.62% (

2.16)

49.38% (

-2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57% (

1.91)

71.42% (

-1.91)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

1.26)

17.09% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

2.18)

47.29% (

-2.18)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66% (

0.63)

39.34% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96% (

0.58)

76.04% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 57%

Cardiff City 19.69%

Draw 23.3%

Luton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.8% Total : 57%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.69%