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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Luton Town

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton


McClean (72'), Caulker (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')
Adebayo (72'), Potts (77'), Clark (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Luton Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Luton Town

 The most recent two meetings have been closer than many anticipated, and we expect another competitive match here. However, we feel like the same scoreline as Tuesday is the most likely outcome, albeit not with a last-gasp winner on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
22.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)78.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 22.61%
    Luton Town 50.59%
    Draw 26.79%
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Luton

Wigan Athletic
23.3%
Draw
14.0%
Luton Town
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Wigan
1-2
Luton
Aasgaard (46')
Power (45+2'), Whatmough (56'), Tilt (79'), Hughes (90+7')
Woodrow (51'), Adebayo (90+8')
Burke (89')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Third Round
Luton
1-1
Wigan
Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
Naylor (17')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Wigan
0-0
Luton
> Match Report
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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