MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:56:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Luton Town

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton


McClean (72'), Caulker (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')
Adebayo (72'), Potts (77'), Clark (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Luton Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Luton Town

 The most recent two meetings have been closer than many anticipated, and we expect another competitive match here. However, we feel like the same scoreline as Tuesday is the most likely outcome, albeit not with a last-gasp winner on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
22.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)78.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 22.61%
    Luton Town 50.59%
    Draw 26.79%
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Luton

Wigan Athletic
23.3%
Draw
14.0%
Luton Town
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Wigan
1-2
Luton
Aasgaard (46')
Power (45+2'), Whatmough (56'), Tilt (79'), Hughes (90+7')
Woodrow (51'), Adebayo (90+8')
Burke (89')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Third Round
Luton
1-1
Wigan
Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
Naylor (17')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Wigan
0-0
Luton
> Match Report
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139
> Championship Full Table


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