MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:53:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Luton Town

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton


McClean (72'), Caulker (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')
Adebayo (72'), Potts (77'), Clark (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Luton Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Luton Town

 The most recent two meetings have been closer than many anticipated, and we expect another competitive match here. However, we feel like the same scoreline as Tuesday is the most likely outcome, albeit not with a last-gasp winner on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
22.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)78.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 22.61%
    Luton Town 50.59%
    Draw 26.79%
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Luton

Wigan Athletic
23.3%
Draw
14.0%
Luton Town
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Wigan
1-2
Luton
Aasgaard (46')
Power (45+2'), Whatmough (56'), Tilt (79'), Hughes (90+7')
Woodrow (51'), Adebayo (90+8')
Burke (89')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Third Round
Luton
1-1
Wigan
Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
Naylor (17')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Wigan
0-0
Luton
> Match Report
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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