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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
West Brom logo

Luton
2 - 3
West Brom

Morris (7'), Adebayo (10')
Ruddock (43'), Campbell (88'), Bree (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dike (39'), Molumby (65'), Townsend (67')
Molumby (62'), Dike (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Luton Town 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

This is arguably the most attractive match of the second tier this weekend, and we expect strong performances to boot. However, the Baggies may just about edge this contest, taking advantage of more inconsistency from Luton who have just three home wins all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.59% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 26.68% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.93% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.59%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.73%
    Draw 26.68%
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Luton vs West Brom

Luton Town
35.7%
Draw
23.8%
West Bromwich Albion
40.5%
42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-0
West Brom
Jerome (55'), Campbell (83')
Bell (36'), Campbell (86')

Ajayi (29'), Molumby (84'), Bartley (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
West Brom
3-2
Luton
Naismith (5' og.), Robinson (36'), Grant (66')
Mowatt (29'), Zohore (90+4')
Cornick (70'), Ruddock (90+7')
Campbell (15'), Osho (74')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
West Brom
Cornick (15')
Potts (65'), Shinnie (89')
Diangana (48', 51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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