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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
39.7% ( 0.21) | 27.97% ( -0.07) | 32.33% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.23) | 58.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.18) | 79.09% ( -0.18) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( 0.23) | 28.77% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( 0.29) | 64.61% ( -0.28) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( 0.03) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( 0.03) | 70.07% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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