Leeds5 - 2Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 2-1 Cardiff City (a.e.t)
Neither Leeds nor Cardiff have the ingredients for a recipe for success right now, but if Whitehead can bring the new manager bounce to Elland Road with him, a leaky Whites side could be in for a tricky evening. Marsch's men tend to find their golden touch in front of their own supporters, though, and with some high-quality attacking players ready to make an impact off the bench, Leeds should book their place in round four, although they may require 120 minutes to do so. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
54.69% ( 0.09) | 23.31% ( -0.07) | 21.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( 0.29) | 46.58% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( 0.27) | 68.85% ( -0.28) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.14) | 16.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.03% ( 0.24) | 46.97% ( -0.25) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.14) | 35.41% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.83% ( 0.15) | 72.17% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.69% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.99% |
How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff
Madine (35'), Ralls (45'), Pilkington (79'), Grujic (82')
