Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Leeds
The Match
Match Report
Leon Bailey and Emiliano Buendia score the goals as Aston Villa record a 2-1 victory over Leeds United in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Stevenage
Sunday, January 8 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Sunday, January 8 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Leeds
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leeds United |
47.71% ( 0.13) | 24.77% ( -0) | 27.52% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
