MX23RW : Tuesday, June 18 11:32:44| >> :60:202:202:
Aston Villa logo
Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Chelsea

McGinn (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
34.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 40.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-0.058 -0.06)45.5% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-0.055 -0.05)67.83% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.34% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 34.48%
    Chelsea 40.62%
    Draw 24.9%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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