Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Sterling (18'), Zakaria (30')
Koulibaly (39')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Petkovic (7')
Misic (22'), Ivanusec (54'), Moharrami (89')

Chelsea boss Graham Potter comments on Ben Chilwell injury, Denis Zakaria debut in Dinamo Zagreb win

Head coach Graham Potter admits that it was a mixed night for Chelsea as Ben Chilwell suffered a hamstring injury during Wednesday's 2-1 victory over Dinamo Zagreb.

Nov 2, 22:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
56.09% ( 0.04)	24.35% ( -0)	19.56% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.02% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-0.02)

53.64% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-0.02)

75.13% (

0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

0.01)

19.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

0.01)

50.57% (

-0.01)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05% (

-0.05)

41.95% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61% (

-0.05)

78.39% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 56.08%

Dinamo Zagreb 19.56%

Draw 24.35%

Chelsea	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.08%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.56%