Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 1
Salzburg

Ljubicic (40')
Ivanusec (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Seiwald (12')
Pavlovic (90'), Sucic (90+3')

Red Bull Salzburg surrender top spot to Chelsea with Dinamo Zagreb draw

Red Bull Salzburg lose top spot in Champions League Group E to Chelsea courtesy of a 1-1 draw against Dinamo Zagreb in Croatia.

Oct 11, 22:08

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Red Bull Salzburg

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg

Although Salzburg hold a three-match unbeaten record in this year's competition, they are likely to be tested by their hosts who perform much better on familiar territory. Nevertheless, we are backing the visitors to battle their way to another important result, potentially moving to the brink of qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
36.5% ( -0.24)	24.47% ( 0.05)	39.02% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 59.65% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

-0.28)

43.2% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.28)

65.6% (

0.28)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.25)

23.41% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

-0.37)

57.41% (

0.37)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.03)

22.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

-0.05)

55.49% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 36.5%

Red Bull Salzburg 39.02%

Draw 24.47%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.5%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.02%