Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Giroud (45' pen.), Saelemaekers (47'), Pobega (77')
Pioli (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Orsic (56')
Orsic (74'), Marin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14
4	Udinese	6	6	13

Dinamo Zagreb

Last Six:

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb

As Rafael Leao may feel he has a point to prove before his domestic suspension kicks in for Sunday's clash with Napoli, the talented winger may play an integral role in getting Milan off the mark in Group E. Victory will not come easily, though, as Dinamo possess several players of the calibre and European experience to score at least once and push the home side close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
56.66% ( 0.09)	21.27% ( 0.01)	22.07% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 60.78% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.77% (

-0.16)

37.23% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.56% (

-0.17)

59.44% (

0.17)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.95% (

-0.02)

13.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.37% (

-0.05)

39.64% (

0.05)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.17)

30.1% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-0.21)

66.24% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.66%

Dinamo Zagreb 22.07%

Draw 21.27%

AC Milan	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 56.66%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.07%