Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
0 - 0
AC Milan

Frattesi (64'), Lopez (72'), Marco Ferrari (76'), Defrel (86'), Alvarez (90+7')

Hernandez (27'), Saelemaekers (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Udinese	3	-1	4
12	Sassuolo	3	-2	4
13	Spezia	3	-2	4

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	3	7	7
2	AC Milan	3	4	7
3	Lazio	3	3	7

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

Milan have enjoyed a solid start to their title defence, claiming two wins and one draw from their opening three games. The Rossoneri are currently on a run of six straight away ways against Sassuolo and we are backing them to extend this dominant run on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
20.93% ( -0.41)	20.57% ( -0.01)	58.5% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.63% (

-0.53)

35.37% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.6% (

-0.59)

57.4% (

0.6)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-0.68)

30.04% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-0.82)

66.16% (

0.83)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0.05)

11.93% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.7% (

-0.11)

37.3% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 20.93%

AC Milan 58.5%

Draw 20.57%

Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.93%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.5%