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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan

Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 AC Milan

Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
28.98% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 22.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 48.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.88% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.72% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 28.98%
    AC Milan 48.85%
    Draw 22.17%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
14.3%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
68.9%
161
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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