Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
30.49% | 22.72% | 46.79% |
Both teams to score 64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.36% | 36.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% | 23.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% | 57.84% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% | 16.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.49% | 45.51% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 7.22% 1-0 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.82% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |