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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Empoli logo

Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli


Freuler (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Empoli

With Atalanta's ability to capitalise on home advantage still questionable, and their visitors having gone so long without away success, it may not be a fluent affair in front of some disgruntled Bergamaschi fans. However, the hosts' need for the points is far greater, and they can edge out Empoli due to the options available to Gasperini from the bench if the outcome remains undecided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.41% (1.415 1.42) 16.87% (-0.536 -0.54) 14.71% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 62.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63% (0.77500000000001 0.78)28.37% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.79% (0.95099999999999 0.95)49.2% (-0.949 -0.95)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.48699999999999 0.49)7.61% (-0.485 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (1.237 1.24)27.22% (-1.235 -1.24)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.524 -0.52)32.15% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.595 -0.59)68.63% (0.598 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.41%
    Empoli 14.71%
    Draw 16.87%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.187 0.19)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.157 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.17 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
84.2%
Draw
14.5%
Empoli
1.3%
76
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Kessie (74'), D'Alessandro (94')
Kurtic (38'), Gomez (53'), D'Alessandro (95')
Mchedlidze (51')
Buchel (17'), Marilungo (22'), Diousse (82'), Skorupski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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