Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 3
Torino

Zurkowski (56')
Pinamonti (19'), Henderson (51'), Andreazzoli (62'), Stojanovic (75')
Verre (59'), Stojanovic (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Belotti (78' pen., 87' pen., 90+6')
Vojvoda (18'), Lukic (29'), Juric (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

Even including their heroics last time out, Empoli have won just four times at home since promotion back to the top flight last summer, and are more likely to draw according to recent trends. In 2022, the Azzurri have finished seven league games all-square - only Genoa have done so more since the turn of the year - and Torino have drawn each of their last three too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Torino
36.89%	24.43%	38.68%

Both teams to score 59.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.03%

42.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.63%

65.37%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9%

23.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05%

56.95%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82%

22.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42%

55.58%

Score Analysis

Empoli 36.89%

Torino 38.68%

Draw 24.42%

Empoli	Draw	Torino
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.89%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.68%