Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Torino
0 - 3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Abraham (33', 42' pen.), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Roma's recent Serie A form has been disappointing, and they will be coming up against a Torino outfit that will be full of confidence due to a strong set of results over the last few weeks. A draw would leave Roma vulnerable in the top six, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Roma
35.14% ( -0.11)	25.53% ( 0.01)	39.34% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

-0.08)

48.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.65% (

-0.08)

70.35% (

0.07)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.11)

26.5% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.14)

61.69% (

0.13)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.01)

24.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

0.01)

58.5% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Torino 35.14%

Roma 39.34%

Draw 25.52%

Torino	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.34%