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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Spezia Calcio logo

Torino
2 - 1
Spezia

Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Spezia

Pitching together two of the lowest-scoring teams outside the bottom three, this fixture is surely bound for a close-fought draw. Even though Spezia are the team to have faced the most shots in Serie A this season, timid Torino have landed only a league-low 97 on target themselves, so a goalfest is not on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
59.19%22.06%18.74%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87%38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.89%
Score Analysis
    Torino 59.19%
    Spezia 18.74%
    Draw 22.06%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.19%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Torino vs Spezia

Torino
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Spezia
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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