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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma

Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

While Fiorentina have recently stumbled, they are usually a tough nut to crack in Florence, and their visitors may have one eye on an upcoming European final. Roma's need to rotate could also dilute their chances of posting a vital away win, so they will have to settle for just a point against ambitious opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
47.06% (1.919 1.92) 23.66% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.28% (-1.634 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.451 0.45)41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.453 0.45)64.22% (-0.455 -0.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.955 0.95)17.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.614 1.61)48.85% (-1.617 -1.62)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.842 -0.84)27.06% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.113 -1.11)62.43% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.06%
    Roma 29.28%
    Draw 23.65%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.283 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Roma
48.1%
210
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Badelj (34')
Pezzella (21'), Caceres (45'), Castrovilli (64'), Vlahovic (89')
Dzeko (19'), Kolarov (21'), Pellegrini (73'), Zaniolo (88')
Zaniolo (38'), Kolarov (45'), Diawara (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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